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☆ How this bull market could unravel and what to watch for, according to Larry McDonald
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Lawrence McDonald, author of "A Colossal Failure of Common Sense" and "How to Listen When Markets Speak." The recent stock market rally and the surprisingly resilient U.S. economy are reliant on an uneasy balancing act between the U.S. Treasury market, the oil market and struggling regional banks, according to one bestselling author and market risk expert. Larry McDonald, author of "A Colossal Failure of Common Sense" about the downfall of Lehman Brothers, told CNBC that another spike in inflation could have major repercussions through the U.S. economy. Many regional banks have a high amount of long-term bonds and loans on their books that will go down in value if yields rise. McDonald's warning, and his new book, "How to Listen When Markets Speak," come with the stock market hovering just under record highs and the Dow Jones Industrial Average flirting with the 40,000 level.

Persons: Lawrence McDonald, Larry McDonald, Lehman, McDonald Organizations: U.S . Treasury, Lehman Brothers, CNBC, Dow Jones Locations: U.S

☆ Ron Insana's new firm aims to bring AI-powered trade ideas to individual investors
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The firm, called iFi AI, launches Wednesday. The company will use AI models to help generate projected returns for stocks over various time periods, according to Ron Insana, iFi AI CEO and CNBC senior analyst and commentator. IBM's watsonx powers the AI programs behind the new venture, incorporating fundamental news, technical analysis and other factors to make projections about where stocks are headed. The AI programs are already being used to help make decisions with $6 billion that is managed institutionally, Insana said. "The difference between quantitative analysis and AI-driven analysis is that AI learns and continues to learn and teach itself," Insana said.

Persons: Ron Insana, Insana, Morgan Stanley Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Wall Street

Cadre Holdings CEO Warren Kanders sold $50.3 million worth of stock. Ares Management CEO Michael Arougheti sold $32.7 million worth of stock. Cadence Design Systems CEO Anirudh Devgan sold $14.7 million worth of stock. AppLovin CFO Herald Chen sold about $9.5 million worth of stock. Cleanspark CEO Zachary Bradford sold nearly $9 million worth of stock.

Persons: Michael Dell, Verity Data, Mark Zuckerberg, Chan Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, Priscilla Chan, Warren Kanders, Kanders, Jayshree Ullal, Michael Arougheti, Sytse Sijbrandij, Sijbrandij, Anirudh Devgan, Aneel Zaman, Herald Chen, Zachary Bradford Organizations: Dell Technologies, Dell, DELL, Securities and Exchange Commission, Chan Zuckerberg Initiative, Facebook, Cadre, VerityData, Arista Networks, Ares Management, Cadence Design, Herald Locations: 10b5

☆ This new ‘opportunistic’ ETF is an example of hedge fund strategies coming to the masses
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-24 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Opportunistic Trader ETF, trading under the ticker "WZRD," launched on Wednesday and quickly surpassed $15 million in assets. Benedict is a former hedge fund manager who later founded The Opportunistic Trader, an information and education service about his strategies. And he's not the only hedge fund veteran trying out products that are open to retail investors. The WZRD ETF won't be a buy and hold strategy common among ETFs, according to securities filings and the Opportunistic Trader team. Rise of active ETFs The rise of hedge-fund like ETFs is part of a broader trend toward more active funds.

Persons: Larry Benedict, Jack Schwager, Benedict, Pershing, Bill Ackman, James Hickey, Hickey Organizations: Trader, SEC, Trust, Nvidia, JPMorgan Chase Locations: United States, WZRD

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Nvidia, Unilever, Coinbase and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Here are the companies making headlines on Wall Street ahead of the opening bell. Several Wall Street analysts hiked their price target for Nvidia after the event. Disney — Shares declined less than 1% following news that filmmaker George Lucas is backing Disney CEO Bob Iger in the company's proxy fight with activist investor Nelson Peltz. Super Micro Computer — The tech stock tumbled more than 10% after a filing showed a new stock offering of two million shares. The company's full-year revenue guidance was also near the low end of Wall Street expectations.

Persons: Jerry's, bitcoin, George Lucas, Bob Iger, Nelson Peltz, Lucas, Goldman Sachs, DLocal Organizations: Nvidia, Unilever, Disney —, CNBC, Tencent Locations: San Jose , California

☆ A key segment of the Treasury market is on a record losing streak ahead of the Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The price of bond funds like TLT move in the opposite direction of bond yields, meaning lower prices equal higher yields. TLT 1M mountain The iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF has fallen for eight straight trading sessions. Only two of the trading sessions have seen a decline of more than 0.5%. One of the TLT's main competitors, the Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) , also fell for eight-straight trading sessions. The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) has only fallen in five of the past eight sessions, for example.

Persons: Jason Goepfert Organizations: U.S . Treasury, Treasury Bond ETF, Treasury, Federal, White Oak Consultancy

☆ Super Micro Computer, one of the hottest AI plays alongside Nvidia, tanks 10% on share offering
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

In this article SMCI Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTShares of Super Micro Computer dropped Tuesday after the company announced a new share offering, taking a bite out of one of the biggest rallies tied to the artificial intelligence boom. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Super Micro, 1-day"The principal purposes of this offering are to obtain additional capital to support our operations, including for the purchase of inventory and other working capital purposes, manufacturing capacity expansions and increased research and development ('R&D') investments," the filing said. Goldman also has an option to purchase up to 300,000 additional shares of Super Micro Computer within the next 30 days. Super Micro Computer, a tech infrastructure company, has become one of the biggest winners of Wall Street's appetite for AI investments. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Super Micro Computer, YTD

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Micro Computer, Super Micro Computer, Micro, Nvidia, YTD

☆ Bitcoin to rally to $150,000 this year and could touch $250,000 in 2025, Standard Chartered says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The excitement around the arrival of bitcoin ETFs and the subsequent surge to new highs for the cryptocurrency is making even bitcoin bulls raise their expectations. "We raise our long-held price estimate to the USD 150,000 level from USD 100,000 given the more rapid pass-through from ETF inflows to the BTC price to date," the note said. The new bitcoin ETFs have pulled in billions of dollars from investors since their January launch, even with the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust seeing heavy outflows. The iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has raked in more than $12 billion on its own, according to FactSet. The quick growth of the bitcoin ETFs has boosted confidence that there are more investors interested in crypto who have been reluctant to buy it through crypto exchanges.

Persons: Geoff Kendrick, Kendrick Organizations: BTC, Metrics, bitcoin Locations: Bitcoin

☆ Goldman lays out the next phases of AI trade and stocks to play them
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-17 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"In addition to NVDA, investors have been focused on a broadening of the AI trade. We expect there will likely be three broad, subsequent stages of the AI trade," Hammond wrote. Goldman foresees a second phase that focuses on companies that build and maintain the infrastructure around AI. "Based on performance and valuation, investors have already started to price subsequent phases of the AI trade. An equal-weighted basket of Phase 2 stocks is up 14% during the past 6 months, largely driven by valuation expansion.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Ryan Hammond, Hammond, Goldman foresees, Goldman, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Broadcom, Foundry, Keysight Technologies, Palo Alto Networks, Intuit, Adobe, Nvidia —, Pinterest, Tenet Healthcare

☆ Goldman is making a big call to clients to hedge for a market decline. Here's what it recommends
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Arun Prakash from Goldman's derivatives research team proposed an options trade focused on the Cboe Volatility Index , or "Vix," to hedge against a market selloff. .VIX 5Y mountain The Cboe Volatility Index has been trading at an unusually low level in 2024 so far. Generally speaking, a call option gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price, and serves as a bet that the asset will rise above the strike price. "Over the past 30+ years, VIX has averaged 19 in April, and we see upside risks to the current low VIX levels given current macro environment and upcoming macro/micro catalysts. If the Vix does not rise above the strike price before the options contract expires, the trader loses the premium paid for the contract.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Arun Prakash, Prakash, hasn't, That's, Goldman, VIX, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Reserve

☆ Bitcoin shows its volatility once again, tumbling back to $67,000 in overnight decline
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Data from Coin Metrics shows bitcoin was trading above $72,000 late Thursday night before fall to about $67,000 on Friday, a decline of roughly 7%. Bitcoin is still up about 57% year to date, and the overnight drop came from near record highs. The cryptocurrency has climbed over the past few months, in part due to anticipation and then demand from the new bitcoin ETFs that launched in the U.S. in January. Rapid rallies and steep drops have been a recurring feature of bitcoin's history. Crypto optimists say that the volatility of the asset class should decline as bitcoin matures.

Persons: Bitcoin, Kris Marszalek, bitcoin, Crypto Organizations: Coin Metrics, Rapid Locations: U.S

Former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin is building an investor group to acquire ByteDance's TikTok, as a bipartisan piece of legislation winding its way through Congress threatens its continued existence in the U.S. "It's a great business and I'm going to put together a group to buy TikTok." There's no way that the Chinese would ever let a U.S. company own something like this in China," Mnuchin said. Last week, Mnuchin's Liberty Strategic Capital was a lead investor in a $1 billion capital raise to stabilize New York Community Bancorp. That administration also took an antagonistic stance toward TikTok, which ultimately resulted in ByteDance striking a data partnership with Oracle .

Persons: Steven Mnuchin, ByteDance's, ByteDance, Mnuchin, CNBC's, Masa, Joe Biden, Peter Thiel, Vinod Khosla, Keith Rabois, TikTok, Shou Zi Chew, Wang Wenbin, Bobby Kotick, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: U.S, Liberty Strategic Capital, Vision Fund, Senate, Lawmakers, China Foreign Ministry, Financial Times, Street, Activision, Community Bancorp, Oracle Locations: Liberty, ByteDance, U.S, China, TikTok, New

☆ Why these stock buyback ETFs might be a better bet than dividend funds
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Investors weighing a shift into dividend stocks may be better off focusing on companies with big share buyback programs instead, according to Bank of America. The idea behind focusing on stock buybacks is that companies that can use excess cash to reduce their share count through buybacks are likely on strong financial footing. This is more of a pure-play buyback fund, tracking the Nasdaq US Buyback Achievers Index. To be sure, stock buybacks are a frequent target of politicians and their tax treatment could change in the years ahead. President Joe Biden called for raising the corporate tax rate for stock buybacks at his State of the Union address last week.

Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, PKW, Joe Biden Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of America's, Bank of, Nasdaq, Union Locations: buybacks

Corporate executives at major companies have sold stock in their own companies in March as the stock market hits new record highs. Zuckerberg's moves appear to be part of a 10b5-1 stock sale plan adopted last summer. An even larger stock sale came from Michael Dell, the CEO and namesake of Dell Technologies . The tech founder has filed a Form 144 to sell 7 million shares, so more transactions could be coming, according to VerityData. Dell shares have soared more than 50% this year on optimism the AI boom will lead to a replenishment of servers and PCs.

Persons: Mark Zuckerberg, Michael Dell, Alesia Haas, Zuckerberg, Haas, Troendle, William Hickey III, James Walter, TechnipFMC, Douglas Pferdehirt, William Meaney Organizations: Facebook, Dell Technologies, Dell, Medpace Holdings Locations: —, 10b5

☆ Nvidia's rally has 'stalled' and could be stuck for months, says Renaissance Macro chair
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Nvidia 's long rally could be giving way to a consolidation period that lasts for months, according to Renaissance Macro Research chairman Jeff DeGraaf. "I think we're stalled here for Nvidia," DeGraaf said Monday on CNBC's "Money Movers ." This combination of a big rally plus elevated trading activity suggests that the stock is overheated, according to DeGraaf. The stock was trading near the $870 level on Monday. This period could take three to six months, DeGraaf said, and he compared it to a brief slump Nvidia had last summer.

Persons: Jeff DeGraaf, DeGraaf, It's Organizations: Nvidia, Macro

☆ One of Wall Street's favorite investment vehicles turns 25 years old
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-10 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

One of Wall Street's favorite investment vehicles turns 25 years old on Sunday, but shows no signs of fading to the background as it ages. One of the main conversation points around the 2023 rally for the QQQ, and the entire U.S. market, is the dominance of just a handful of key stocks. Over the years, many key stocks have left the fund, including former top performers like Nextel Communications and Sun Microsystems, which were bought out. Related plays Competition in the ETF industry for the QQQ has expanded dramatically over the past quarter century, including from other Invesco funds. That fund is less than four years old but has already surpassed $20 billion in total assets.

Persons: Wall, Ryan McCormack, McCormack, Todd Sohn Organizations: Nasdaq, Qs, Microsoft, Intel, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Broadcom, Nextel Communications, Sun Microsystems, Pepsico, Amgen Locations: United States, U.S

☆ Election trading playbook: Watch these stocks as Trump secures Republican nomination
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-07 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Despite Trump facing legal issues on multiple fronts, including a federal indictment that alleges he illegally conspired to discount votes in the 2020 election, he appears to be cruising to the Republican nomination once again. Raymond James was listed by Goldman and in Barclays' Trump stock basket, according to the Jan. 30 note. A Trump term could benefit energy giants such as Chevron , but also smaller players such as Devon Energy or coal companies such as Peabody Energy , according to Goldman. Another group of industrial companies could get a piece of government spending from expansion of the Mexico border wall under a second Trump administration. Caterpillar was one of the companies involved previously, according to Goldman.

Persons: Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Venu Krishna, Goldman, Wells, Piper Sandler, Raymond James Organizations: Trump, Republican, Barclays, Federal Trade Commission, Boston, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Energy, Republicans, Chevron, Devon Energy, Peabody Energy, Steel Dynamics, Broadcom, Caterpillar Locations: China, Cleveland, Mexico

☆ New York Community Bancorp tumbles 40% and is halted as troubled bank reportedly seeking cash infusion
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Reuters and the Wall Street Journal reported Wednesday that the bank was looking to outside investors for cash to shore up its balance sheet. fell more than 40% on Wednesday amid reports that the regional bank is seeking a cash infusion. A cash infusion would be the latest development in a turbulent start to the year for NYCB. The bank disclosed in late January that it was dramatically raising the allowance for potential loan losses on its balance sheet. The questions surrounding NYCB are reminiscent of those that swirled around Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic before all three failed in the spring of 2023.

Persons: Alessandro DiNello, NYCB, DiNello Organizations: Reuters, Wall Street, CNBC, New York Community Bancorp, NYCB, Moody's, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First Locations: Silicon, NYCB

☆ This market rally is taking out funds that hedged against recent investor fears
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The Simplify Tail Risk ETF , which trades under the cheeky ticker "CYA," is headed for liquidation later this month after a brutal money-losing stretch. CYA 1Y mountain Simplify's Tail Risk ETF has been beaten down by the market rally. "Tail protection, which was heavily desired in 2020, has no bids right now. And that way if you're losing money on it, and it's a tail risk ETF where you're buying a put [option], then you understand why that's happening," Armour said. "A tail risk ETF is going to go potentially over a decade without working, and that's okay.

Persons: Michael Green, Green, subpar, Bryan Armour, Armour, CYA, Philip Toews, Vix, Toews Organizations: CNBC, Fidelity, North, Asset Management Locations: North America

☆ AI investor on why Nvidia's valuation isn't crazy and his top picks in the space
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Zehrid Osmani, a portfolio manager at Martin Currie, a Europe-based affiliate of Franklin Templeton, is one such investor. Osmani told CNBC that he sees "potential risk of froth" in the AI trade as a whole, but not for Nvidia. "Unlike the basket of AI [stocks] that has seen multiple expansion, Nvidia has actually seen multiple contraction. Nvidia's price-to-earnings ratio, using the projections for the next 12 months, is 32.4, according to FactSet. So there will be a critical element of needing to channel more spend toward AI for a corporate," Osmani said.

Persons: Zehrid, Martin Currie, Franklin Templeton, Osmani Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, Microsoft Locations: Europe, Great Britain, OpenAI

☆ These other crypto trades are having big years as bitcoin hits a record high
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Start with the arrival of bitcoin exchange traded funds, which is often pointed to as one of the sparks of the crypto rebound. IBIT 1M mountain Bitcoin ETFs, like iShares' IBIT, have surged over the past month as the cryptocurrency has raced to a new record high. MSTR 1M mountain Shares of Microstrategy are outperforming bitcoin over the past month. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Bitcoin ETFs, like iShares' IBIT, have surged over the past month as the cryptocurrency has raced to a new record high. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Shares of Microstrategy are outperforming bitcoin over the past month.

Persons: Kenneth Worthington, It's, cryptocurrencies Organizations: Fidelity, Bitcoin, JPMorgan, Marathon, Getty

☆ This dividend strategy is swapping out a chip stock winner for Starbucks. Here's why
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Dividend-focused investors should look to switch out a hot chip stock for a slumping consumer play after the latest market rally, according to Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. Coffee chain Starbucks is joining the model portfolio, while red-hot Broadcom is on the way out. Starbucks has been battling rising labor costs in the U.S. and weak demand in China, a key international market. The addition of Starbucks helps bolster the consumer discretionary part of the Morgan Stanley Wealth Management model portfolio. The dividend yield for AVGO is 1.6% even after the company announced a dividend hike in December.

Persons: Morgan, Daniel Skelly, Skelly, SBUX, Laxman Narasimhan, Narasimhan, it's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Broadcom, Starbucks, Morgan Locations: U.S, China

☆ Shares of NYCB fall 14% after bank discloses 'internal controls' issue, CEO change
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The regional bank announced that Alessandro DiNello, its executive chairman, is taking on the roles of president and CEO, effective immediately. Shares of New York Community Bancorp fell 14% in extended trading Thursday after the regional lender announced a leadership change and disclosed issues with its internal controls. The bank also announced an amendment to its fourth quarter results, adding a disclosure about its internal risk management. The specter of loan losses reignited fears about the state of the commercial real estate market and regional banks more broadly. Several regional banks failed in 2023 after customers and investors became uneasy about the value of the debt on bank balance sheets, including Silicon Valley Bank.

Persons: Alessandro DiNello, NYCB, DiNello, we've, Marshall Lux, Hanif Dahya, Lux, JP Morgan Organizations: York Community Bank, New York Community Bancorp, Flagstar Bank, Moody's Investors Service, Chase Consumer Bank, JP, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Brooklyn, New York City, Silicon

☆ It's time to buy the dip in nuclear and uranium ETFs, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-28 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Uranium stocks have cooled off in recent weeks, making this a good time for investors to jump in, according to Bank of America. Many of the biggest uranium stocks like Cameco Corp. are down about 14% in February. Since 2021 clean energy ETFs with heavy exposure to wind and solar power have suffered a sharp bear market ( > 30% losses and $2.4bn outflows), but over the same period investors added $2bn into uranium & nuclear power ETFs," Woodard said. An example of a uranium fund that is seeing such a blip is the Global X Uranium ETF (URA) , which is Woodard's top pick in this space. Another uranium fund that Bank of America is bullish on is VanEck Uranium and Nuclear Energy ETF (NLR) .

Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, URA, Canaccord, George Gianarikas, they've, Gianarikas, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Cameco Corp, Uranium, Nuclear Energy, Public Service Enterprise Group, Uranium Trust Locations: NLR, Canada

☆ Bitcoin ETFs see record-high trading volumes as retail investors jump on crypto rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-28 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Retail traders appear to be using a new tool during this huge rally for bitcoin — exchange-traded funds. The funds, which launched last month, have seen their trading volume surge this week as bitcoin continues to climb. That is well above its previous record high of roughly 43 million shares, which came on Tuesday. The highly active market around these funds is likely a sign that retail traders are using the ETFs to participate in the bitcoin rally. The trading volume is even more impressive when considering the price.

Persons: bitcoin Organizations: Fidelity, Bitcoin

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